Weak
leadership is Europe’s Archilles’ heel
Richard Werly ; An
international correspondent for the Swiss daily Le Temps. He is also an
associate fellow of DiploFoundation (Geneva) and the EU Center in Singapore
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JAKARTA
POST, 06 September 2014
The incoming president of the European Council
does not speak fluent English or French, or Spanish. Appointed Saturday night
in Brussels by the Heads of State or Government of the 28 EU member states,
the outgoing Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk will be largely forced to
speak through a translator, whenever he travels around the world to be “the
voice and face” of the European Union.
In similar fashion, though she is much more
gifted with foreign languages, the multilingual Italian academic Federica
Mogherini will soon take over the very sensitive position of EU High
Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security without much preparation.
Aged 41, Mogherini is nearly unknown on the global stage, therefore
reigniting the controversy that surrounded the nomination, five years ago, of
another unknown woman, British Baroness Catherine Ashton, to this crucial
post as Head of the EU’s Common diplomacy or EEAS (European External Action
Service).
The third European nomination to date, though
decided last July, is equally worrying. Though well known in international
circles, and though a savvy conservative politician, the former Prime
Minister of Luxemburg, Jean-Claude Juncker, 60, due to become President of
the European Commission next October, does not appear to fit the requirement
for a “strong” leader.
A very affable personality, this
lawyer-turned-politician who has haunted the corridors of Brussels since the
mid-1980s, holds before all the reputation of a consensus maker. And though
he may be able to pick up the phone and answer in very good English, if
Washington calls Europe in an emergency, his capacity to react quickly, and
to impose his views on European capitals in case of disagreements between
Paris, London, Berlin, Madrid or Rome seems presently close to zero.
So here we are, after weeks of trading names
and positions among the 28 EU member states, following last May’s European
elections, whose most striking outcome was a clear rise of the far right and
openly anti-EU parties, like the Front National in France and UKIP in the
United Kingdom. Without disrespect for Tusk, his capacity to reach the people
of Europe and to convince them can be easily questioned.
Before he became head of government, Tusk was
not particularly known as a firebrand European, unlike the late Polish
historian and politician Bronislaw Geremek. His choice is mainly a reward for
Eastern European countries longing for more EU visibility after their
integration into the community ten years ago.
The same applies for Mogherini who owes her
position to her gender, and to an extraordinarily active lobbying by Italian
PM Matteo Renzi, who holds the current rotating EU presidency and will host
the Bi-annual Asia-Europe summit (ASEM) on Oct. 17-18. On a geopolitical
scene dominated by foreign affairs veterans and abrasive personalities such
as Vladimir Putin or Hillary Clinton, her Italian charm might prove soon
insufficient to demonstrate the EU’s credibility and determination.
The truth is that, once again, and despite the
severe warnings sent throughout the financial crisis about the need of a
strong community leadership, European governments remain more preoccupied
with their domestic agenda, issues of gender equality, or political party
maneuvering, than with choosing the right cast for those high-profile jobs.
Right after the European elections, some Brussels-based commentators,
irritated by the probable choice of Jean-Claude Juncker as president of the
EU Commission, suggested the name of Christine Lagarde, the present IMF
Director General and former French minister of finance.
A prominent lawyer, well known on global
stages, and well versed in global finance, Lagarde would have indeed brought
changes to the Brussels bureaucracy. Another very strong contender, this time
for the foreign affairs job, was the high profile Polish foreign minister
Radoslaw Sikorski, whose confrontational attitude with Russia had the merit
of awakening the west-Europeans to Putin’s threats.
But both names were very quickly discarded. A
bit like Tony Blair who was, for a while, in 2009, a virtual candidate for
the newly created position of European Council president, before stepping out
of the fray and letting the very pale Belgian PM Herman Van Rompuy, be
nominated.
The reality, after these nominations, is that
the EU does not yet understand the scope of the global crisis which is
affecting its interests, from Russia to Asia. Despite a severe economic
crisis, a public debt bomb not yet defused, an explosive rate of unemployment
in several southern countries, and an ageing population tempted to become
more and more conservative and easily manipulated by nationalists, the EU
still believes it has time to fix problems, and still sees communication,
charisma, and public diplomacy as tools rather than as agents of change.
This assessment is dead wrong. In 2014 more
than ever, the besieged European Union Europe is in serious need of gifted
political operators, capable of simultaneously addressing the challenges of
economic divergence between the north and the south, the difficult
constraints of a single currency for 19 of its member states, and the reality
of a declining military power challenged, to the east, by the Russian bear.
More than ever, in a world dominated by the
likes of Obama, Putin and Islamic State (IS), personalities and messages
matter.
To believe in Europe, Europeans need therefore
to have leaders they see as capable of defending their cause, and not
politicians brought into Brussels’ high positions by deals brokered between
their national governments and the European Parliament, for the sole sake of
preserving their respective powers. Experience, courage and vision are a
must.
If Jean-Claude Juncker, Donald Tusk and Federica
Mogherini, share such a vision, they should better demonstrate it quickly and
forcefully. ●
|
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