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Senin, 29 April 2013

Reassesing ASEAN’s Economic Community


Reassesing ASEAN’s Economic Community
I Made Diangga Adika Karang ;  A Researcher in The International Relations Department at Parahyangan Catholic University, Bandung
JAKARTA POST, 28 April 2013


Good news from recent meetings has given rise to the optimism of ASEAN member states in promoting economic progress. Within the coming two years, members are confident of achieving the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC). 

“I believe that under the chairmanship of Brunei Darussalam, we can achieve the goals. And we believe strongly that the 2015 community is on the way,” said Indonesian Coordinating Economic Minister  Hatta Rajasa.

According to the press statement issued after the 9th AEC Council Meeting, ministers noted that 77.5 percent of measures under the AEC blueprint had already been implemented. ASEAN adopted the AEC blueprint at the 13th ASEAN Summit in 2007, which means that for over five years member states have devoted their commitment to the implementation of this grand regional community. 

The AEC envisages the key characteristics of the community as a single market and production base, a highly competitive economic region, a region of equitable economic development and a region fully integrated into the global economy (ASEAN Secretariat, 2013).

These characteristics play roles as indicators of achievement to a successful AEC. The more ASEAN people enjoy GDP growth and progressive competitiveness, as well as a free flow of goods and services, the more the AEC will be at the hands of this body. In other words, Hatta’s optimism is triggered by these characteristics that likely touch the reality, thus it serves as an opportunity for ASEAN. 

Despite being motivated by such opportunities, however, critics say that challenges to the realization of the key characteristics remain intact. 

First, as a single market, ASEAN has applied a common ASEAN visa system that supports people-to-people contact and connectivity, yet Cambodia and Laos are not included. Moreover, small-medium scale companies are unfamiliar with the single market scheme under the AEC (The Jakarta Post, April 8, 2013).

Second, travel and tourism (T&T) has become a reliable sector to boost ASEAN’s economy and competitiveness due to its abundant tourism sites and various cultures. It accounts for 4.6 percent of ASEAN GDP and it employs 9.3 million people, which contribute up to 9 percent of GDP and employment worldwide. 

Nevertheless, the competitiveness index gap among ASEAN members is huge. According to the Global Competitiveness Index (GCI), Singapore is the highest (2 out of 144 countries) among ASEAN countries and Cambodia is the lowest at 85. Indonesia’s rank is 50.

Third, it should be noted that the awareness of minimizing the development gap among ASEAN members started in 2000, whereby the Initiative for ASEAN Integration (IAI) was established to accelerate the growth of newer members, including Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam (CLMV). 

However, a report from the World Bank in 2011 revealed that ASEAN still had a development gap in which Singapore had the highest GDP per capita (US$46,241), while Cambodia was the lowest ($897). Indonesia’s GDP per capita was at $3,495.

Fourth, proceeding the enthusiasm of the liberal market system, ASEAN successfully formed a Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) in November 2011 along with Australia, China, India, Korea, Japan and New Zealand, which implies ASEAN’s first step to an integrated global economy (ASEAN Secretariat, 2013). Nonetheless, the challenges to this issue lie in ASEAN’s capacity to maintain its centrality among other global actors. 

Recently, ASEAN’s cohesiveness has been threatened by the South China Sea dispute, which involves China, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines and Taiwan. If the dispute continues, it will be hard for the body to operate on the global stage along with its economic cooperation. 

Furthermore, ASEAN ministers also noticed that the challenge to implementing the four key characteristics lies in the connectivity problem. 

“The challenge is in people-to-people, institutional and infrastructure connectivity. These three structures are what we have to work very hard on,” said Hatta.

As such, ASEAN is committed to enhancing these three kinds of connectivity through the establishment of a Master Plan on ASEAN Connectivity (MPAC). “The implementation of MPAC hopefully will strengthen ASEAN competitiveness as a production base with an abundant potential market,” said Indonesian Ambassador to ASEAN Ngurah Swajaya in the ASEAN Connectivity Coordinating Committee (ACCC) Meeting on April 3-4.

The alternatives to building strong connectivity require a proper approach. It implies that infrastructure, institutional and people-to-people connectivity enhancement should be well-planned, transparent and strategic. 

Otherwise, it might pose other challenges, such as funding and technical problem, which might hinder the progress and suspend the realization of AEC. 

It is true that ASEAN has undertaken measures to fulfill its commitment. However, challenges remain to achieving the ultimate goal in 2015. Therefore, the 22nd ASEAN Summit, which will be held on April 24-25, should address measures to achieve the AEC, as well as precise and effective alternatives to counter challenges.

Minggu, 07 April 2013

Indonesia’s leadership in post-2015 agenda


Indonesia’s leadership in post-2015 agenda
I Made Diangga Adika Karang ;  A Researcher at The International Relations Department, Parahyangan Catholic University, Bandung
JAKARTA POST, 27 Maret 2013

  
Indonesia has just begun another of its prominent roles overseas. It is hosting another meeting of the High Level Panel of Eminent Persons (HLPEP) on the post-2015 development agenda in Bali, from 25-27 March.

United Nations Secretary-General, Ban Ki-moon, has appointed President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono to cochair the panel, along with President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf of Liberia and UK Prime Minister David Cameron. The meetings have previously been held in New York, London and Monrovia.

The inception of the HLPEP signifies the commitment and awarness of state parties to achieve their foremost objectives for 2015, namely the Millenium Development Goals (MDGs), and the future of the MDGs after 2015. Accordingly, the panel focuses on poverty eradication and promotion of sustainable development.

Why was Indonesia appointed as cochair? The UN secretary-general affirms that the work of the panel will reflect new development challenges while also drawing on experience gained in implementing the MDGs, both in terms of results achieved and areas for improvement. 

This statement implies that Indonesia has a perceivably good record in attaining its MDGs. For example, since 1990, Indonesia has been able to reduce the number of people living in poverty, from 20.6 percent in 1990 to 11.9 percent in 2012.

Nevertheless, the cochairmanship job poses challenges and opportunities. Indonesia’s key means of tackling poverty lies in its capacity to manage population growth. 

The scarcity of basic needs, such as food and energy, is the challenge while a population explosion occurs. The more the population grows, the more scarcity strikes the country, thus poverty is seemingly inevitable. 

“On the population factor, our success in tackling poverty depends on our success in managing our population growth. The global population has increased by 2 billion in less than three decades, surpassing 7 billion in 2011. Such a scale of population growth will impact on our ability to provide food, energy and other basic services,” said President Yudhoyono. 

Critics say that Indonesia still suffers from poverty. Although the poverty rate has decreased, the number of families living on or below the poverty line remains significant. 

The World Bank reported that in Indonesia 75 percent of low-income workers were in the informal sector; more than 60 percent of poor families depended on income from agriculture; 55 percent of the poor had limited primary education and 16 percent were illiterate; and 50 percent of the poor lacked access to clean water (The Jakarta Post, Feb. 13, 2012). 

However, Indonesia is not dismissive about tackling stumbling blocs to poverty alleviation. Accordingly, Indonesia has established the Master Plan for Expediting Poverty Eradication (MP3K) aimed at achieving a poverty level below 6 percent by 2025, as well as the Master Plan for the Acceleration and Expansion of Indonesian Economic Development (MP3EI) which focuses on accelerating the infrastructure development process. 

These measures represent Indonesia’s commitment to the post-2015 agenda which integrates economic growth, social inclusion and environmental protection, as prescribed in the communiqué  from the meeting in Monrovia.

Despite the challenges, the position as the cochair allows some opportunities. The United Nations Development Group (UNDG) has entrusted Indonesia with conducting multi-stakeholder dialogues and inclusive consultations. 

As a result, these consultations will allow the UN in Indonesia to present to the UNDG a synthesis of voices from across the country at a grassroots level, as well as at both the national and sub-national levels.

For Indonesia, this crucial role will help to improve economic and social measures to eradicate poverty. The President has emphasized that measures should focus on human development which include education, health, equality for girls and women, as well as infrastructure, job creation, social protection, accountability, justice and non-violence.

Consistent with the focus of the post-2015 development agenda — poverty reduction and sustainable development — the “blue economy” can be one of the alternatives. Gunter Pauli promotes the blue economy as an instrument to generate value, jobs and social capital in order to build initiatives that respond to the needs of the people and compete in the world market. 

In other words, the blue economy can help local communities to employ all their available resources, bringing them into production and consumption activities with minimal social and environmental costs. (the Post, March 11).

Moreover, Indonesia could articulate more deeply ideas and solutions — including but not limited to the blue economy — for sustainable economic development along with the broad pariticipation of many stakeholders. 

For instance, the Bali regional meeting on the post-2015 development agenda which opens today will be a valuable channel to promote the solutions to youth, civil society and the business community; hence, the principles of social inclusion and economic growth can be exercised hand-in-hand through this proposal. 

Now it is time for Indonesia to renew its commitment to the MDGs. By being the cochair it has the motivation for the country to develop, even though challenges and opportunities remain. Thus, Indonesia’s leadership in the post-2015 development agenda should articulate those challenges and opportunities in order to fulfill its commitment to the MDGs.