Managing
inflation : Food diversification
Mohammad Nuryazidi ; A member of
the Banten Regional Inflation Control Team
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JAKARTA
POST, 24 Maret 2014
Earlier
this year, a series of natural disasters hit several provinces in Indonesia.
There
were flash floods in four subdistricts of Manado, Tomohon, Minahasa and North
Minahasa in northern Sulawesi alone, causing severe damage to infrastructure.
The damage
disrupted the supply and distribution of staple goods and raised inflation
pressure. Interestingly, the monthly announcement by the Central Statistics
Agency (BPS) put inflation in Manado at only 1.06 percent in January (month
to month). In February, Manado even experienced deflation of 0.23 percent
(month to month), bringing inflation in that area to 0.83 in the first two
months (year to date). Manado’s inflation rate was below the national
inflation rate of 1.33 percent in the same period (year to date).
Compared
with other regions that also experienced heavy floods such as Banten in the
western part of Java, inflation in Manado was very special. Inflation in
Banten reached 2.04 percent in a two-month period (year to date).
Certainly,
sufficient food supplies and efficient distribution played a part in low
inflation in Manado despite the floods, but there were other factors that
kept inflation fairly low.
Food
preferences in Manado vary so it does not depend on one type of staple food.
This is different from Banten, which consumes mostly rice as the main staple
food.
One of
Manado’s staple foods is Tinutuan porridge made of pumpkin, rice, cassava,
spinach, kale, corn and basil. Although the porridge contains rice, the
proportion is not as much as ordinary rice porridge.
The
weight of food in the inflation index in Manado, according to the cost of
living survey by the BPS, is relatively large at 20.61 percent.
Food
diversification is important not only to enhance and sustain food security
but also has a significant role in maintaining price stability. The
diversification of food gives more options to people so that when there is
disruption or scarcity in certain types of staple foods, people can turn to
other foods.
The
existence of these choices may reduce the demand on particular types of food
commodities, thereby decreasing the risk of unreasonable price hikes.
Indonesia,
with a population of over 240 million, is a huge rice consumer. According to
the Agriculture Ministry, Indonesia’s rice consumption was estimated at 35
million tons last year, while rice (milled) production, according to the
ministry totaled 39 million tons.
Even
people in Papua and Nusa Tenggara who used to consume sago and corn as their
main staple foods have turned to rice due to the food policy launched during
the three decades of the Soeharto administration.
The rice
policy has changed the food consumption pattern whereby most people have
shifted from a wide variety of foods such as cassava, maize and sago in the
eastern region of the country to rice as the main staple food.
Now the
government has again encouraged local residents on various islands to return
to their old staple foods, because the heavy dependence on rice makes the
country highly vulnerable to wide fluctuations in the supply and price of
rice.
A more
diversified variety of staple foods consumed by the people in the various
islands will prevent too heavy demand on rice and protect the country from
wide rice volatility because rice imports sometimes have to be made to meet
the domestic deficit, while international rice suppliers are few, such as
Thailand, Vietnam and India.
But food
diversification programs should also be supported with adequate farm policies
and input to encourage the cultivation of various food crops. The regions in
Indonesia have a wealth of popular local food. Almost every province has its
own cuisine based on raw materials available locally in abundant supply.
Broadening
food diversification is not limited to controlling inflation but also to
securing food security, which is vital for social, political and economic
stability. ●
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