Treaty
to ban nuclear weapons
is
all what the world wants, now
Yunizar
Adiputera ; A researcher at the Institute of International Studies,
Department of International Relations, Gadjah Mada University, and also
partner of the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN)
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JAKARTA
POST, 07 Mei 2014
From
April 28 to May 9 state parties to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)
met at the United Nations in New York for the 3rd Preparatory Committee for
the NPT Review Conference 2015. Yet little progress has been made with
regards to the obligations of nuclear weapons states parties to the treaty —
the United States, United Kingdom, France, Russia and China — to disarm their
arsenals.
Under
Article VI of the treaty, nuclear-armed states should “pursue negotiations in
good faith on effective measures in relations to […] nuclear disarmament”.
Despite the rhetoric there are still 17,000 nuclear weapons in the world.
The
reduction of nuclear arsenals by the “Permanent Five” (P5) on the UN Security
Council are just about retiring the bloated numbers of warheads from the Cold
War, which ended more than two decades ago, not about having good faith to
free the world of nuclear weapons.
Worse,
billions of dollars have been planned to fund the modernization of nuclear
arsenals. To quote the UN secretary-general: “The world is over-armed and
peace is under-funded.”
The
Action Plan adopted at the NPT Review Conference 2010 called for the
establishment of Middle East Nuclear Weapons Free Zones. While such zones
have been established in most parts of the world, including in Southeast
Asia, there have been no indications of the same treaty being established in
the Middle East.
Another
multilateral venue for disarmament affairs is the Conference on Disarmament
(CD). Past successes of the CD were the Chemical Weapons Convention,
Biological and Toxin Convention and Nuclear Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty
(CTBT).
Since
the signing of the CTBT, however, there has been no CD progress. Other
disarmament initiatives, such as the Anti-Personnel Landmine Convention and
the Arms Trade Treaty, had been brought outside the CD process, and proven
quite successful, signaling the impotence of the body.
Until
recently, discussions on nuclear weapons were dominated by the discourse of
security or “strategic stability”, which positions nuclear weapons as an
enabler of peace.
However,
the NPT Review Conference 2010 expressed “deep concern at the catastrophic
humanitarian consequences of any use of nuclear weapons”. The International
Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) has also declared that no meaningful
response could be made to save lives in the case of nuclear detonation.
The
humanitarian initiative toward eliminating nuclear weapons took more formal
shape through the International Conference on the Humanitarian Impacts of
Nuclear Weapons held in Oslo in March 2013, and continued in Nayarit, Mexico,
in February 2014. Experts shared findings on the impact of nuclear weapons
such as on the economy, health and the environment. A similar conference is
to be held in December in Vienna.
The
conclusion from all findings about the humanitarian impacts of nuclear
weapons can only point to one thing: that nuclear weapons are illegitimate
and must be banned immediately.
A group
of like-minded states, such as Norway and Mexico, and a large coalition of
global civil society within the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear
Weapons (ICAN), called for a new legally binding treaty prohibiting nuclear
weapons.
This ban
treaty would first serve as an international norm explicitly declaring the
illegality of nuclear weapons, which up until now is not present. Even the P5
states and the nuclear umbrella states — states that do not possess nuclear
weapons but rely on the deterrence of nuclear weapons from P5, such as NATO,
Australia, Japan and Korea — explicitly included nuclear weapons as part of
their defense strategy.
Second,
a ban treaty would pass the leading role to the non-nuclear weapons states.
The negotiation, and even adoption, of a ban treaty need not wait for the
participation of nuclear-weapon states. A ban treaty is a pragmatic and
quicker way to go forward amid deadlock in the machinery of NPT and CD.
But what
is the point of having a treaty that is not signed by the nuclear-armed
states? Isn’t our problem the unwillingness of the nuclear-armed states to
disarm?
This is
a legitimate concern, because the primary objective of this treaty is not so
much about the nuclear-armed states as it is about non-nuclear weapons
states. But making nuclear weapons illegal is simply the right thing to do,
with or without the participation of the nuclear-armed states. After all,
states have already committed themselves to prohibiting nuclear weapons
through nuclear weapons free zones and legislation criminalizing nuclear
weapons. A ban treaty would affirm the established commitment of non-nuclear
weapons states.
But a
ban treaty should be supported because it does impact the current impasse.
First, it sets the international norm about the illegality of nuclear
weapons. Already nuclear-armed states have expressed fears of a ban treaty
through calling it a “distraction” promoted by “radical dreamers”.
Second,
by positioning nuclear weapons as illegal, a nuclear ban treaty facilitates
divestments from the nuclear weapons industry. The campaign has so far
pressured investment banks to refrain from investing in the nuclear weapons
industry.
Third, a
ban treaty would be a valuable tool for the public, particularly the
nuclear-armed states, to press their government to disarm. In the past,
outlawing weapons usually precedes their elimination.
Indonesia
is the chair of the working group on disarmament of the Non-Aligned Movement
(NAM). Due to its size, if NAM were to start negotiations on a treaty banning
nuclear weapons (that is, actually start, rather than “call for” or
“support”), the game would be changed forever.
Sadly,
NAM has shown no interest in exploring ban treaty negotiations. This is also
partly due to its large membership, including India and Pakistan, who possess
nuclear weapons. Such diversity within NAM is probably the main reason why
its joint statements have been watered down to accommodate the lowest common
denominator.
Yet, NAM
members are actually intrigued by the idea of a ban treaty. If its mechanism
hampers progressive policy in disarmament, then its members, particularly
Indonesia, should not shy away from pursuing it outside NAM.
Strong
national and regional positions can be the place to start, though a ban
treaty might not be the panacea for all problems in nuclear disarmament. Amid
deadlock in the NPT and CD machinery, a nuclear ban treaty is so far the most
significant and feasible step the world can take to realize a world free of
nuclear weapons. ●
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