The
promise of Jokowi’s presidency
Luhut B Pandjaitan ;
Former Minister of Industry and Trade
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JAKARTA
POST (The Straits Times/ANN) , 18 Agustus 2014
Despite winning this year's election, Joko "Jokowi"
Widodo must await the final and binding decision of Indonesia's
Constitutional Court. Still, it is only a matter of time before he is sworn
in as the nation's seventh president, most likely at the end of October.
Unlike his main rival, a former military man, Joko cut his
political teeth in post-Suharto Indonesia and is a product of the Reformasi
generation. He comes from the ranks of problem-solving small city leaders
rather than a national political organisation.
He made his mark with his impressive capacity for getting things
done peacefully. He stands out because he rose to national power through
merit rather than the family, military or business connections that have
helped Indonesian politicians in the past.
Under such a leader, one who has broken the mould, politics will
not be business as usual. Joko has not become president simply to enjoy the
trappings of power for a few years. He is determined to make a difference and
has the capacity to achieve much.
What are the implications of his rule for the nation and the
region?
Joko will take over from president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono a
politically stable nation, a growing economy and a young, rapidly changing
society.
Major political threats such as terrorism, ethnic violence in
Maluku and the Aceh separatist insurgency have been contained or resolved.
Internationally, Indonesia commands respect and is once again exerting
constructive leadership in Asean.
This means that Joko can focus on domestic, mainly economic,
challenges. He will inherit from the Yudhoyono administration many long-term
plans, most of them well-crafted.
He is aware of the long list of things that need fixing in the
economy. But he also needs to focus on a few key issues. Some areas where he
can make a big difference include infrastructure, fiscal policy, corruption
and education.
In infrastructure, his genius for trouble-shooting could turn a
long list of planned projects into reality. In his two years as Jakarta
Governor, he demonstrated a remarkable ability to identify and clear
bottlenecks.
Take the underground mass transit project, which is now moving
ahead after years of delays under three previous governors. Indonesians can
expect similar progress with many road and power projects that have been
stuck in bureaucratic logjams for more than a decade.
In implementing government policies, Joko showed courage by
moving ahead with unpopular policy actions necessary for long-term progress.
He resolved the case of street traders who aggravated the traffic gridlock in
Jakarta by occupying roads. He persuaded people to accept uncomfortable
changes and implemented key policies without triggering a political backlash.
Expect him to do likewise in areas such as removing fuel
subsidies. This will not be popular, but Joko understands the futility of
persisting with a failed policy. He will deploy the resources released
through this reform to build infrastructure and provide direct welfare
benefits for the poor.
If most of his programmes are implemented well, I am sure
Indonesia will achieve economic growth of 6.5 per cent to 7.5 per cent before
the end of his term in 2019.
During television debates ahead of the election, Joko showed a
clear grasp of national interests and an ability to defend and promote them
despite his limited diplomatic experience.
His foreign policy will be based on the need to create a stable
environment to promote economic growth despite growing regional turbulence.
In essence, Indonesia will take the following pragmatic approaches:
First, as an archipelagic state, it will pay greater attention
to resolving border issues.
Second, using its "middle power" diplomacy, Indonesia
will seek to become a regional power that gives priority to issues directly
related to the interests of the nation and its people.
Third, it will seek to consolidate its Asean leadership, while
strengthening Asean cooperation and the regional security architecture.
Fourth, Indonesia can be expected to build up its foreign
affairs ministry so that it can support economic diplomacy within the
framework of the global economy.
The next five years might not be easy as Joko tackles domestic
challenges. But with time and perseverance, Indonesia will become stronger
internally as infrastructure constraints are eased and fiscal and other
policies are sharpened.
A strong and rapidly growing Indonesia that pursues its
interests rationally and pragmatically will be good for the region. Indonesia
also values a cohesive and vibrant Asean. Indeed, for the past 50 years,
Indonesia has been a force for good in South-east Asia, exerting a light
touch to help steady regional dynamics.
Under Joko, that same pragmatic and fraternal leadership will be
strengthened, with substantial benefits for all of Indonesia's friends in
Asean and beyond. ●
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