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Rabu, 10 September 2014

Revisiting Indo-Oz defence treaty sans mutual trust

Revisiting Indo-Oz defence treaty sans mutual trust  

Sabam Siagian and Endy M Bayuni  ;   Senior editors at The Jakarta Pos;
 Siagian served as Indonesia’s ambassador to Australia in 1991-1994
JAKARTA POST, 09 September 2014

                                                                                                                       
                                                      

The agreement on the code of conduct on surveillance signed by Indonesia and Australia marks the resumption of full normal ties between the two countries that drifted apart after revelations in November that Canberra had been tapping the phone of President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, his wife and a number of top Cabinet ministers.

The agreement, signed by the countries’ respective foreign ministers Marty Natalegawa and Julie Bishop in Bali on Aug. 28, should lead to the restoration of all security and defense cooperation programs that Yudhoyono revoked when he downgraded bilateral ties.

But nice diplomatic parlance aside, there is one thing that neither side can restore immediately, if ever: mutual trust.

An essential ingredient in any relationship, Australia’s belligerent attitude in the wake of the espionage scandal made sure that whatever trust the two governments had painfully built over the years went out of the window.

The agreement was hastily pushed by both sides, without looking deeper into the implications the spy revelation had on bilateral ties, presumably to provide Yudhoyono with a respectable exit as he leaves office in October.

After all, he had invested his personal reputation in strengthening bilateral relations more than any Indonesian president had ever done. If he felt deeply betrayed by his Australian friends, this agreement probably soothed his feelings a little.

But the message from Canberra is loud and clear: Australia has no intention of stopping the espionage activities on Indonesia. It never has, even from the beginning when the espionage activities were first disclosed by the Snowden files. The code of conduct signed in Bali flies in the face of Indonesia’s good neighbor foreign policy.

It took Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott all this time to agree to sign this agreement and, even then, Canberra insisted on calling it a “joint understanding” ; hence the wordy official title: The Joint Understanding on a Code of Conduct between the Republic of Indonesia and Australia in implementation of the agreement between the Republic of Indonesia and Australia on the Framework for Security Cooperation.

The code of conduct, or joint understanding, is supplementary to the existing umbrella defense and security cooperation agreement the two governments signed in 2006, known as the Lombok Treaty — so named after the Indonesian island where it was signed.

Can the Lombok Treaty seriously be retained given the loss of mutual trust that had pinned their relationship on defense and security cooperation?

With the Yudhoyono factor out of the picture, incoming Indonesian president Joko “Jokowi” Widodo would do well to review this aspect of the relationship with Australia.

A recent Reuters item from Sydney reported that Abbott is pursuing “a muscular foreign policy that has moved him closer to the United States on crises like Iraq and Ukraine, but has some worried over the risk of alienating China.” In pursuing relations with its southern neighbor, Indonesia should not allow itself to be dragged into a position that contradicts its active and independent foreign policy, which historically has been its principled position.

Now Indonesia knows better that Australian intelligence operates independently from the administration’s declared foreign policy.

Next time an Australian prime minister states that “no country is more important to Australia than Indonesia”, echoed first by Paul Keating in 1994 and repeated by all his successors since, including Abbott, we should take it with a grain of salt. As far as their intelligence operation is concerned, Indonesia is still treated as a potential enemy and a threat to Australia’s security.

The fact of the matter is that when it comes to intelligence operations, Australia is beholden to the masters in Washington through a complex web of alliance treaties dating back to the Cold War era. Then prime minister John Howard was revealing Canberra’s true identity when he described Australia as “America’s deputy sheriff” in 2004.

The Lombok Treaty may not have to be abrogated, but we need to send it back to the drawing board to allow Indonesia’s foreign and defense officials to review and adjust to the real Australia we have come to know now.

With little or no mutual trust, relations in defense and security should be pragmatic at best, if not strictly businesslike: We should ask what Indonesia can get out of it, in the same way that Australia will be asking what it can get out of Indonesia.

Indonesia and Australia should continue to forge all other aspects of their relationship, from trade and investment, education and cultural exchanges, scientific research, to tourism, civil aviation, meteorology and others not related to security and defense.

Some security cooperation such as fighting the drug trade and counter-terrorism can continue, but all others will have to be frozen, terminated or scaled down.

We should be cautious about any suggestion to elevate relations up a notch to a “comprehensive partnership”. Comprehensive partners do not spy on each other. Given the close linkages between Australia and US intelligence agencies, clearly Indonesia and Australia have different strategic outlooks.

More specifically, we recommend that the periodic meeting between the heads of government be scrapped, as they can always meet on the sidelines of international summits like APEC, G-20 and the East Asia Summit. The joint meetings of foreign and defense ministers should also be postponed. They can meet when the need calls.

Indonesia should review the many joint strategic cooperation programs since the countries do not necessarily share the same interests.

On the perceptions of the China threat, the people-smuggling problem and the spread of radical Islamic ideology, the overlapping areas of common interests are not as large as many assume. Cooperation in these areas should be limited to where Indonesia really benefits from it.

Australia is coming up with a new 2015 defense white paper, while Indonesia has long passed the 2013 deadline to publish its own defense white paper.

These documents will outline their respective threat perceptions. In addition, Jokowi will likely want to implement his foreign policy vision of Indonesia as an “Indo-Pacific” axis of power, and a maritime power, which is a major departure from current policy.

Indonesia, with a long coastline facing the Indian Ocean, will cooperate with Australia and other littoral states within the framework of the Indian Ocean Rim Countries Organization to establish a cooperative regime.

All these developments as well as the changing nature of the relationship should be taken into account as Indonesia reviews its defense and security ties with Australia.

Australia will continue to be an important neighbor for Indonesia by geographical definition, although now less so in terms of shared geopolitical interests.

If Australia regards Indonesia as a potential enemy, Indonesia too should consider Australia as a potentially hostile neighbor.

As far as defense and security cooperation, relations beyond this point and for the foreseeable future should be kept cordial in the absence of mutual trust.

That probably works in the best interests of the two nations as long as Australia is not quite ready to conduct an independent and active foreign policy befitting a sovereign nation. ●

Selasa, 02 September 2014

Mending RI-Australia relations will help keep terror risk at bay

Mending RI-Australia relations will help

keep terror risk at bay

Ross Taylor  ;   The president of the Perth-based Indonesia Institute (Inc)
JAKARTA POST, 01 September 2014

                                                                                                                       
                                                      

Last week Australia’s Foreign Minister Julie Bishop and her counterpart, Indonesia’s Marty Natalegawa, flew to Bali to sign a Code of Conduct between Indonesia and Australia that will bring to an end the strained relations between the two countries caused by Australia’s alleged spying on President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and his wife.

The agreement will also see the upgrading of intelligence sharing, policing and anti-terrorism cooperation. It also comes at a time when plans are underway to commemorate the 12th anniversary of the first Bali bombings in October.

While most tourists visiting the holiday island would have given little thought to the significance of the signing of this agreement, the implications are significant for all travelers to Bali and the region amidst concerns of an increasing terrorist threat.

This year has seen the approval for the release of over 100 convicted Bali-bombing terrorists and their “helpers” from Indonesian jails. But even more worrying, the recent events in Iraq and Syria have seen increasing numbers of young Indonesians answering the call to create what the emerging and extremely violent jihadist “army” IS (Islamic State, formerly the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant) call a caliphate; a demand for all Muslims to help establish a pan-Islamic state.

Bring these events together at a time where many young Australians are visiting Bali for the first time, and disturbingly, attitudes towards holidaying in our “paradise island” have softened to a point whereby most Australians don’t even think about security issues any more.

Within Indonesia, the Iraq-based IS followers have many political and religious leaders deeply concerned. Already our government has warned of the threat to mainland Australia from returning Australian passport holders who have been fighting in the Middle East.

But the threat from Indonesians returning from Iraq and Syria as hardened terrorists is perhaps an even greater threat.

It is estimated that at least 100-150 Indonesians are now actively engaged with IS in Iraq and Syria.

Simultaneously, the radical Islamic cleric, Abu Bakar Ba’asyir, has sent a rallying call to his “true believers” from a jail cell in Java (where he is serving a 17-year jail sentence for his involvement in both Bali bombings) to join in the caliphate in the Middle East; and the world.

The expansion of IS in the region, and in Indonesia may, we hope, falter due to the extent of the shocking murder and mutilation of thousands of Christians and Shiite Muslims in the Middle East by IS followers.

And the positive news for the region is that the vast majority of Muslims in both Indonesia and Australia are vigorously opposed to IS and their use of Islam to inflict appalling crimes on innocent people of all religions.

Recently, the Indonesian Ulema Council (MUI) decreed a fatwa (a religious order) against IS, and over 3,000 followers of Ba’asyir’s Jamaah Ansharut Tauhid (JAT) have quit the organization over the actions of IS and their followers.

In Australia, Prime Minister Tony Abbott has already moved to soften his government’s plan to amend race-hate laws in order to “clear the air” with Muslim leaders whose support Abbott needs in stopping the spread and attraction of IS amongst young Australian Muslim men.

But to ensure Bali remains immune from another terrorist attack similar to that which devastated the lives of so many Australians and Indonesians in 2002 and 2005, both countries will have to work together to address this potentially dangerous expansion of IS in our region.

The Australian Federal Police (AFP) and Indonesia’s National Police (Polri) have an outstanding joint record in dealing with terror-related activities.

Polri used the sophisticated skills of our AFP to bring to justice most of the Bali bombers. And ironically, Australia’s spying agencies probably have played a key role in providing the Indonesian authorities with information about terrorist activities.

Indonesia’s incoming president, Joko “Jokowi” Widodo, will be sworn in during October, and he has a good record of dealing with complex and sensitive matters including terrorist activities, having been the mayor of the central Java city of Surakarta. Jokowi knows that an extremist organization such as IS, who has committed brutal acts against fellow Muslims, could present a potential threat to Indonesia’s stability.

Jokowi also knows that the biggest “weapon” Indonesia has in defeating the IS activities within Indonesia, is its successful democracy, economic growth and religious tolerance.. Notwithstanding this, he will still be keen to maintain and develop close anti-terrorist links between Jakarta and Canberra.

Mutual cooperation following the restoration of the bilateral relationship between Australia and Indonesia, and in the early days of the Jokowi presidency, over terrorism issues could also provide the catalyst for broader and closer business and government relationships between our two countries, despite the new president predicted to be very domestically focused.

In the meantime, for tourists heading off to Bali, the good news is that Bali is a far safer place than in 2002 when 202 people lost their lives in one terrible night.

But the rise of IS, and the attraction of young Indonesian and Australian men to fight for the “caliphate”, should be a wake-up call for us all, while the need for closer relations between Australia and Indonesia’s new president will be even more critical. ●